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Football

Football Betting: How to Win and Who Will Win Euro 2024

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July 1, 2024
how to win and who will win 2024 uefa euro

The group stage of the 2024 UEFA European Football Championship, or simply Euro 2024, is done. There were numerous surprises, which were expected, but it didn't change what was predicted before the tournament began. Germany and Italy will square it off in Berlin on July 14. Right? Not so fast. 

Any football fan,. or bettor, would attest that predicting the winner depends on players' condition, historical performance, and luck. The last one is not only about the (dreaded) penalty shoot-out, but the entire game. Luck didn't play a part in the outcome of Group B, where Albania challenged Croatia, Italy, and Spain. (The game between Albania and Croatia ended in a draw. Italy's win over Albania wasn't lopsided. Ditto with the game between Albania and Spain.) But luck did play a part in the outcome of Group E. (Ukrainian fans must be gutted after the draw between Belgium and Ukraine.) 

This is how the Round 16 of 2024 UEFA Euro would look like:

Georgia vs. Spain

Denmark vs. Germany

Portugal vs. Slovenia

Belgium vs. France

Netherlands vs. Romania

Austria vs. Turkey

England vs. Slovakia

Italy vs. Switzerland

If the results of the group stage would be the basis, then the quarterfinals would pit Germany against Spain, France against Portugal, Austria against Netherlands, and England against Italy. Anything can happen in the knockout stage, though. And a newbie in online gambling, or have been following  the UEFA competition for years, should be aware of the following::

  • Football powerhouses often win. 
  • Surprises await the teams that reach the semifinals .
  • Penalty shoot-outs spoil the fun

(If fans want more, then a quarterfinal game between Belgium and Slovenia can happen. Romania might score an upset. And the anticipated game between England and Italy may not happen.)

Football is fascinating and dazzling at times, captivating millions from football stands and couches, as well as betting circles. In other words, fortune can be won from the comforts of home. Betting on football matches is a blend of strategy, knowledge, and dumb luck. For those who want to excel in football betting, or who don’t have a clue about the best football betting site, here are some useful tips to enhance your chances of consistent success.

Understand football betting

Football betting involves a variety of markets, from win-lose-draw ratio to more intricate bets involving corners, goals, and player performances. Before placing your bet, it’s crucial to understand the fundamentals:

  • Know your market: Familiarize yourself with different betting markets such as  Over/Under Goals, Match Result, and Asian Handicap. Each market offers a unique opportunity based on one's understanding of team dynamics and match conditions.
  • Research and analysis: Successful betting hinges on research. Analyze team form, head-to-head records, and home and away-from-home performances. Utilize statistics to identify patterns and trends.
  • Bankroll management: Set a budget for betting. Stick to that budget. Avoid losses by staking more than you can afford. Smart bankroll management ensures longevity.

How to win football bets

1. Team and player analysis

  • Form and momentum: Assess team form over the entire season. Look for streaks, winning or losing. Don't forget recent matches.
  • Injuries and suspensions: Monitor team news for key absence(s). A missing striker or goalkeeper can impact a team’s performance and betting odds.
  • Home vs. Away-from-home performance: Some teams excel at home, but struggle on the road and vice versa. Think about these factors during evaluation.

2. Understanding odds and value

  • Value betting: Identify bets where the odds imply a higher probability of an outcome than you believe to be true. Value betting involves finding discrepancies between bookmaker odds and your own calculations.
  • Comparing odds: Use multiple bookmakers to compare odds. Small differences in odds can translate to larger profits over time especially in competitive markets.

3. Match-specific factors

  • Derby matches and rivalries: Intensity and unpredictability often characterize derbies. Historical context and emotional factors can influence outcome as well.
  • Motivation and context: Consider external factors such as competition , qualification scenarios, and relegation battles. These factors can impact team motivation and performance levels.

4. In-play betting

  • Live analysis: Watch live matches to gauge momentum shifts, substitutions, and tactical changes. In-play betting allows you to capitalize on events that have yet to happen.
  • Market dynamics: In-play markets fluctuate rapidly, so develop a clear strategy and avoid impulsive bets.

Additional fips for (further) success

  • Stay informed: Follow football news update, injury updates, and tactical insights. It should give you an edge.
  • Avoid emotional betting: Bet objectively based on analysis rather than personal biases.
  • Specialize on specific market(s): Focus on specific league(s) where you can develop expertise. Depth of knowledge makes it accurate.
  • Track your bets: Reviewing past performance refines your strategies and work on those areas that need improvement. 

Conclusion

Becoming an expert in 2024 uefa euro football betting requires an analytical approach. Dedication is a plus. And discipline can help you achieve your goal(s). All of these can increase your chances of long-term profitability. Success in betting comes from making informed decisions and adapting to the dynamic nature of football. With these strategies and tips at your disposal, you are better equipped to be an expert in football betting (or close).

Going back to the Euro 2024, Austria, Germany, Italy, and Portugal will reach the final four. Who will reach the finals? Who will win Euro 2024? Your guess is as good as mine. (If you haven’t figured it out, Germany will win their fifth Euro title. The momentum is on their side. The home fans will carry them through. And luck seems to be on their side.

It’s a shame that Germany and Spain are likely to face off in the quarterfinals. Both teams have the most Euro titles. It would have been a finals game, if not a gold-medal match (in the Summer Olympics). Expect a closely-fought game, which could go on overtime. A penalty shoot-out is a possibility, a worst-case scenario for any team. But Manuel Neuer (of Bayern Munich), or Oliver Baumann (of TSG Hoffenheim), is up to the challenge. 

The English fans can comfort themselves with the fact that the UK will host the 2026 Euro. If the 1966 FIFA World Cup is any indication, then England has a real shot in winning. (You can't discount the home court advantage. Ask the German squad.)

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