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Football

Liverpool vs Aston Villa Betting Prediction and Odds 

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February 18, 2025
logo of 2 premier league football club liverpool vs aston villa

The Premier League race is in half of the season. Liverpool vs Aston Villa are set to clash in an exciting Premier League fixture on Thursday, February 20, 2025, at 3:30 AM PHT. With both teams fighting for valuable points, this match promises an intense showdown. Bettors and football enthusiasts alike are eager to analyze the latest betting odds, match predictions, and top betting markets available for this high-profile encounter.

In this article, we break down the key statistics, best bets, and expert insights to help you make informed betting decisions.

Match Preview and Analysis

Liverpool’s Current Form and Key Stats

Liverpool has been one of the strongest teams in the Premier League this season. They are sitting at the top of the Premier League Table Now. Their attacking prowess, solid defense, and home advantage make them favorites for this clash. Key stats:

  • Recent Form: Strong performances with wins in most of their last five matches.
  • Key Player: Mohamed Salah – Top scorer and a consistent threat in front of goal.
  • Home Advantage: Anfield remains a fortress with an impressive win rate.

Aston Villa’s Performance and Key Insights

Aston Villa has been a formidable side under their current manager, showing attacking intent and defensive resilience. Key stats:

  • Recent Form: Competitive, with wins and draws against top opposition.
  • Key Player: Ollie Watkins – A major goal-scoring threat.
  • Away Form: A mix of wins and losses, making this a tough challenge.

Match Prediction and Betting Odds Markets

Win Probability Analysis

  • Liverpool: 55.2% chance of winning
  • Aston Villa: 23.2% chance of winning
  • Draw: 21.5% probability

Based on statistical models and betting odds, Liverpool holds a clear edge in this fixture.

Match Outcome (Moneyline Bets)

  • Liverpool Win: 1.74 – 1.87 (Implied Probability: 53.5% - 57.5%)
  • Draw: 4.06 (Implied Probability: 24.6%)
  • Aston Villa Win: 3.95 (Implied Probability: 25.3%)

Liverpool are favorites to secure all three points, given their impressive form at Anfield and historical dominance over Aston Villa. However, Villa's attacking strength suggests they could pose a significant challenge.

Over/Under Goals (Totals Bets)

  • Over 2.5 Goals: 1.57 (More likely)
  • Under 2.5 Goals: 2.50 (Less likely)

A high-scoring affair is expected, considering both teams have been prolific in front of goal this season.

Asian Handicap

  • Liverpool -0.5: 1.82 (Liverpool must win outright)
  • Aston Villa +0.5: 2.00 (Villa must win or draw)

The Asian Handicap market suggests a closely contested battle, with Liverpool having the slight upper hand.

Correct Score Predictions

  • 1-1 Draw: 9.7% probability
  • Liverpool 2-1 Win: 9.7% probability
  • Liverpool 3-1 Win: 6.5% probability

These scorelines reflect a balanced contest, with Liverpool favored to edge out Aston Villa.

First Goalscorer and Anytime Goalscorer Bets

  • First Goalscorer:
    • Mohamed Salah (7/2) – Liverpool's key attacking threat.
    • Ollie Watkins (7/1) – Villa’s top striker and potential match-changer.
  • Anytime Goalscorer:
    • Mohamed Salah (19/20) – Consistent goal-scorer.
    • Darwin Núñez (6/5) – A valuable attacking option.
    • Ollie Watkins (2/1) – Aston Villa’s main target man.

Best Accumulator and Parlay Bets

  • Liverpool to Win and Both Teams to Score (BTTS): +210
  • Over 2.5 Goals and Liverpool Win: +180
  • Salah to Score Anytime and Liverpool Win: +250

These bets combine multiple outcomes for higher returns.

Expert Betting Tips for Liverpool vs Aston Villa

1. Bet on Liverpool to Win

Given their recent home form and strong squad, Liverpool are well-positioned to claim victory.

2. Both Teams to Score (BTTS – Yes)

Both teams have been scoring consistently, making this a strong value bet.

3. Over 2.5 Goals

With both teams boasting attacking prowess, expect at least three goals in the match.

4. Mohamed Salah Anytime Goalscorer

Salah’s record against Aston Villa and his current form make him a solid pick to score.

Final Betting Tips:

  • Best Bet: Liverpool to win (1.74 – 1.87
  • Safe Bet: Over 2.5 goals (1.57
  • Value Bet: Salah to score anytime (19/20)
  • Risky Bet: Correct score 2-1 (9.7% probability)

Watch Liverpool vs Aston Villa With Extra Win in OKbet

Liverpool vs Aston Villa is shaping up to be an exciting Premier League clash, with Liverpool favorites but Aston Villa is capable of causing an upset. Key betting markets favor a Liverpool win with both teams scoring, while Mohamed Salah remains a top pick for goals.

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