As the PBA Commissioner's Cup semifinals continue, TNT vs Rain or Shine Elasto Painters prepare for a crucial Game 5 on March 7, 2025. With TNT leading the best-of-seven series 3-1, Rain or Shine must win to stay in the competition.
This article provides betting predictions, odds analysis, key player insights, and expert picks for the upcoming match on the most trusted sports betting site in the Philippines, OKBet!
TNT Tropang Giga vs Rain or Shine: Match Preview
Current Series Standings
- TNT Tropang Giga: Leads the series 3-1
- Rain or Shine Elasto Painters: Must win to avoid elimination
Game 4 Recap
- TNT defeated Rain or Shine 93-85 on March 5, 2025.
- Calvin Oftana led TNT with 26 points, supported by RR Pogoy (22 points) and Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (17 points, 11 rebounds).
- Deon Thompson stood out for Rain or Shine, scoring 44 points in a losing effort.
Betting Odds and Predictions for Game 5
Match Outcome (Win/Draw/Loss Prediction)
- Rain or Shine win probability: 57.5%
- TNT Tropang Giga win probability: 42.5%
Expert Pick
Rain or Shine has a slight edge due to recent loss, but TNT has been resilient throughout the series. This game is expected to be competitive.
Moneyline Betting (Straight Bets on Winner)
- Rain or Shine: 1.74 (-135)
- TNT Tropang Giga: 2.26 (+126)
Rain or Shine is slightly favored, but TNT has the potential to secure an upset.
TNT vs Rain or Shine Ending Prediction:
Rain or Shine 95 - TNT 90
Ending Prediction: (5-0)
Over/Under (Total Points Market)
- Expected total points line: Over/Under 180
- Game 4 total points: 178 (93-85 TNT win)
Given the previous games' defensive intensity, the under 180 total points bet is a strong consideration.
Deep Understanding on Over/Under Betting
Point Spread and Asian Handicap Bets
- Rain or Shine (-3.5) vs TNT (+3.5)
Handicap betting suggests Rain or Shine must win by at least 4 points to cover the spread. If you believe TNT will keep the game close or win, taking TNT +3.5 is a reasonable option.
TNT vs Rain or Shine Correct Score Predictions
Based on recent performances, likely outcomes include:
- Rain or Shine 95 – TNT 90
- Rain or Shine 98 – TNT 92
- TNT 94 – Rain or Shine 91
Rain or Shine winning within a 5-10 point margin is a strong possibility.
First Scorer Prediction
- Top Candidates to Score First:
- Deon Thompson (Rain or Shine) – 44 points in Game 4
- Calvin Oftana (TNT Tropang Giga) – 26 points in Game 4
Deon Thompson is the most reliable pick for first scorer based on recent performances.
Key Players to Watch in Game 5
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
- Deon Thompson: Dominated Game 4 with 44 points.
- Keith Datu and Anton Asistio: Secondary scoring options.
TNT Tropang Giga
- Calvin Oftana: Scored 26 points in Game 4 and has been TNT’s primary scorer.
- RR Pogoy: Contributed 22 points and is a strong mid-range shooter.
- Rondae Hollis-Jefferson: Key defensive presence and rebounder.
Injury Report
TNT’s veteran guard Jayson Castro is out for the remainder of the season due to a ruptured patellar tendon.
Parlay and Accumulator Betting Options
For higher payouts, consider this parlay:
- Rain or Shine to Win (-3.5)
- Over 180 Total Points
- Deon Thompson First Scorer
A three-leg parlay increases potential returns compared to single bets.
Final Game 5 Prediction and Best Bets
Predicted Winner
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
Best Bets on TNT vs Rain or Shine
- Rain or Shine Moneyline (-135 / 1.74)
- TNT +3.5 (if expecting a close game)
- Deon Thompson First Scorer
- Under 180 Total Points (if expecting a defensive battle)
For a higher-risk option, betting on Rain or Shine to win by 5-10 points offers enhanced odds.
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FAQs for TNT Tropang Giga vs Rain or Shine Game 5
- Where to watch TNT vs Rain or Shine Game 5 live?
The game will be broadcast live on One Sports and PBA Rush. You can also stream it online via Cignal Play and Pilipinas Live.
- What time is the TNT vs Rain or Shine Game 5 match?
Game 5 is scheduled for March 7, 2025, at 7:30 PM (PHT) at the Ynares Center, Antipolo.
- Who is favored to win Game 5?
Rain or Shine is slightly favored, with a win probability of 57.5% according to betting odds. However, TNT has proven they can challenge the odds.
- Where can I bet on TNT vs Rain or Shine?
You can place bets on the game at OKBet, one of the most trusted sportsbooks in the Philippines, offering various betting options and promotions.
- What are the latest betting odds for Game 5?
- Rain or Shine Moneyline: 1.74 (-135)
- TNT Tropang Giga Moneyline: 2.26 (+126)
- Point Spread: Rain or Shine -3.5 / TNT +3.5
- Is Jayson Castro playing in Game 5?
No, Jayson Castro is out for the rest of the season due to a ruptured patellar tendon sustained in Game 2.
Stay tuned for more updates, and enjoy the action-packed Game 5 showdown between TNT and Rain or Shine!
